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研發(fā)的匱乏可能會(huì)扼殺3D打印淘金熱

454398 ? 來(lái)源:網(wǎng)絡(luò)整理 ? 2018-05-07 16:08 ? 次閱讀
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Last year, shares of 3D Systems (DDD), a maker of industrial and consumer 3D printers, shot up 270 percent. These gains turned 3D Systems’ stock into one of the best performers of 2012 and broadened investor interest in 3D printing technology. The question for 2013 will be whether that interest can hold as investors, enthused by what they’ve been reading about 3D printing technology, encounter some of the realities of the marketplace for these machines.

(Folks just coming up to speed on this topic can check out a profile I wrote on 3D Systems and 3D printing early last year. Those who read it and invested can thank me later.)

3D Systems makes the vast majority of its money selling large printers to companies that want to crank out quick prototypes of parts. Aeronautics and auto companies have been longtime users of this technology. Today so, too, are consumer electronics companies and even orthodontists making custom braces. For all of 2011, 3D Systems reported revenue of $230.4 million. One chunk ($137.3 million) came from selling the actual machines, while the second chunk ($93.1 million) came from selling what amount to proprietary plastics and powders that go into the machines, much as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) sells toner and ink to its printer customers.

STORY:?Bre Pettis: 3D Printing‘s First Celebrity

Here’s the rub: 3D Systems spent just $14.3 million on research and development in 2011. That’s a paltry 6 percent of revenue. Its main rival Stratasys (SSYS) posted 2011 revenue of $155.9 million and spent $14.4 million on R&D.

Step back and think about these totals for a minute, and you might come away disheartened. 3D printing rightly gets billed as one of the most exciting areas of technology, and it’s simply not receiving the level of investment that you would expect.

A major problem with 3D printing ignored by most is that there’s no Moore’s Law-type mechanics underlying the technology. The physics behind fusing a powder with a laser, or melting plastic and squeezing it through a nozzle, pose severe limitations on the speed at which you can print an object. And once you’ve applied a layer of plastic, the printer must take time to move and adjust a platform supporting the object.

You can add a nozzle or two to speed up the work, but this is a far cry from doubling the amount of transistors on a chip every 18 months, or doubling the storage on a hard drive. There may come a spectacular advance to change these equations, but no one seems to have found any yet. And it seems unlikely that the amount spent on R&D today by the major makers of 3D printers—3D Systems, Stratasys, and Germany’s EOS—will be enough to turn up an unexpected, exponential price-per-performance booster.

Evidence of just how antiquated the technology is can be seen at 3D Systems’ headquarters in South Carolina. There the company has dozens of machines lined up to receive orders from customers via its 3D-printing service arm. Technicians stand in front of computers and try to figure out which products can be printed together most efficiently. It’s basically just as fast to print lots of things as it is to print one thing, so you want to line up products that can fit geometrically alongside each other and maximize the amount of printing done per run.

Much of this process is done manually, with technicians twisting objects around on a screen to see how they fit together. When the actual print is complete, the technicians carry the parts back to a different room to manually clean them off and manually pack them. STORY:?Howie Choset, Robot-Snake Charmer

To the extent that there are big price/performance advances taking place today, they are happening at such companies as Shapeways. Based in New York, the company operates about 10 3D printers at factories in Europe and the U.S. People go to its website, pick objects they want, and Shapeways prints them and mails them. The company has developed its own algorithms to automate how products are arranged in the 3D printers and has more automated shipping systems. “The manual process that used to take one technician two to three hours now takes place in the background,” says Peter Weijmarshausen, chief executive officer at Shapeways.

自動(dòng)翻譯僅供參考

研發(fā)的匱乏可能會(huì)扼殺3D打印淘金熱

去年,3D系統(tǒng)(DDD),工業(yè)和消費(fèi)者對(duì)3D打印機(jī)的制造商的股價(jià)上漲了270%。這些收益轉(zhuǎn)向3D Systems公司的股票進(jìn)入2012年表現(xiàn)最好的之一,在擴(kuò)大3D打印技術(shù)的投資者的興趣。 2013年的問(wèn)題將是利益是否能容納的投資者,被他們一直在閱讀有關(guān)3D打印技術(shù)的熱情,遇到一些對(duì)這些機(jī)器的市場(chǎng)的現(xiàn)實(shí)。

(鄉(xiāng)親只是來(lái)加快速度就這個(gè)話題可以檢查出一個(gè)輪廓,我寫的3D系統(tǒng)和3D打印,去年年初,那些誰(shuí)讀它,并投資可在以后感謝我。)

3D系統(tǒng)使得其錢賣大打印機(jī)希望炮制出零件的快速原型公司的絕大多數(shù)。航空和汽車企業(yè)一直這項(xiàng)技術(shù)的長(zhǎng)期用戶。今天又何嘗不是如此,是消費(fèi)電子公司,甚至做正畸牙套定制。對(duì)于所有2011年,3D Systems公司公布的收入230400000美元。一個(gè)塊(137300000美元)來(lái)自銷售實(shí)際機(jī)器,而第二塊(93100000美元)來(lái)自賣什么的金額專有塑料和粉末的進(jìn)入機(jī)器,就像惠普(HPQ)出售碳粉和墨水其打印機(jī)的客戶。

故事:布雷松佩蒂斯:3D打印的第一個(gè)名人

這里的難題:3D系統(tǒng)只花了14300000美元研究和開(kāi)發(fā)在2011年這是收入只有區(qū)區(qū)6%。它的主要競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手Stratasys公司(SSYS)公布2011營(yíng)收155900000美元,花了14400000美元研發(fā)。

退一步,想想這些總計(jì)為一分鐘,您可能會(huì)離開(kāi)心灰意冷。 3D打印正確地被標(biāo)榜為技術(shù)的最令人興奮的領(lǐng)域之一,它只是不接受投資,你會(huì)期望的水平。

用3D打印由最容易被忽視的一個(gè)主要問(wèn)題是,有沒(méi)有摩爾定律型力學(xué)底層技術(shù)。融合背后的粉末用激光或塑料熔化,并通過(guò)噴嘴擠壓它的物理構(gòu)成上,在這你可以打印對(duì)象的速度受到嚴(yán)重限制。一旦你已經(jīng)申請(qǐng)了一層塑料,打印機(jī)必須花時(shí)間來(lái)移動(dòng)和調(diào)整的平臺(tái)支持的對(duì)象。

您可以添加一個(gè)或兩個(gè)噴嘴,以加快工作,但是這是一個(gè)相去甚遠(yuǎn)晶體管的數(shù)量每18個(gè)月翻一番一個(gè)芯片上,或硬盤驅(qū)動(dòng)器上存儲(chǔ)的兩倍。有可能來(lái)一個(gè)壯觀的進(jìn)步改變這些公式,但似乎沒(méi)有人發(fā)現(xiàn)任何尚未。它似乎是不可能的研發(fā)今天的3D打印機(jī),3D系統(tǒng),Stratasys公司和德國(guó)的主要制定者花在EOS-將是足以讓了一個(gè)意想不到的,價(jià)格指數(shù)每性能助推器。

只是如何過(guò)時(shí)的技術(shù),可以看出,在3D Systems公司的總部設(shè)在南卡羅來(lái)納州的證據(jù)。目前公司擁有數(shù)十名排隊(duì)通過(guò)它的3D打印服務(wù)手臂接收來(lái)自客戶的訂單的機(jī)器。技術(shù)人員站在電腦前,并試圖找出哪些產(chǎn)品可以最有效地一起打印。它基本上是一樣快,打印很多東西,因?yàn)樗谴蛴〉囊患拢砸抨?duì),可以容納幾何彼此一起,最大限度地提高印刷每次運(yùn)行做了多少產(chǎn)品。

這一流程是手工完成,與技術(shù)人員,扭曲在物體在屏幕上看到他們是如何結(jié)合在一起的。當(dāng)實(shí)際打印完成后,技術(shù)人員攜帶件返還給不同的房間進(jìn)行人工清洗并手動(dòng)收拾他們。

故事:豪伊Choset,機(jī)器人耍蛇人

為了有今天發(fā)生大的價(jià)格/性能提升的程度,它們發(fā)生在這樣的公司如Shapeways??偛吭O(shè)在紐約,公司業(yè)務(wù)在歐洲和美國(guó)人民的工廠約10 3D打印機(jī)去它的網(wǎng)站上,挑選他們想要的對(duì)象,Shapeways打印他們和他們的郵件。該公司已經(jīng)開(kāi)發(fā)了自己的算法來(lái)自動(dòng)完成產(chǎn)品如何被安排在3D打印機(jī)并自動(dòng)多運(yùn)輸系統(tǒng)。 “這本手冊(cè)的過(guò)程,過(guò)去需要一名技術(shù)人員兩到三個(gè)小時(shí),現(xiàn)在發(fā)生在后臺(tái),”彼得Weijmarshausen,在Shapeways首席執(zhí)行官說(shuō)。

聲明:本文內(nèi)容及配圖由入駐作者撰寫或者入駐合作網(wǎng)站授權(quán)轉(zhuǎn)載。文章觀點(diǎn)僅代表作者本人,不代表電子發(fā)燒友網(wǎng)立場(chǎng)。文章及其配圖僅供工程師學(xué)習(xí)之用,如有內(nèi)容侵權(quán)或者其他違規(guī)問(wèn)題,請(qǐng)聯(lián)系本站處理。 舉報(bào)投訴
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